104 F today much moist in the air.
Warning from Estoflex for us:
A 18Z forecast sounding from the W-Netherlands show more than 2500 J/kg MLCAPE, strongly veered profiles, 25 m/s shear already in the lowest 3 km and a rich helical environment. In case initiation along the coast verifies, expect any storm to reveal explosive development into a mature supercell. Large to very large hail (hail diameter in excess of 5 cm), severe wind gusts and very heavy rainfall amounts likley accompany that activity. Combination of SRH-1 above 200 m^2/s^2 and LCLs around 1 km along the coasts also indicate an enhanced tornado risk in case this activity will be surface-based. CI has to be monitored closely and an upgrade may be needed if confidence in CI has increased.