The problem isn't the magnitude. We had a quake in Quebec that shook us at about a 5, it's the old style buildings that will crack like an egg. The average building is brick and mortar and will literally fall apart in seconds if it goes over a 5. They'll have at least a 5 if things go as they have and they are overdue by 2 decades at this point. The longer it takes, the stronger the quake will likely be.