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Thread: We Could Talk About The Weather

  1. #2951
    Forum Addict kb2crk's Avatar
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    68 degree F here today and still climbing.


    a yankee living in the hind end of the bible belt
    some people are like slinkys, not really good for anything, but still bring a smile to your face when you push them down the stairs.

  2. #2952
    Tribal Warrior AA1OH's Avatar
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    Ya I know-I am going to miss the 70/80 degree weather coming up as I am getting on a greyhound to Texas in a few hours to look at, and hopefully bring back, a 92 Foretravel Grand villa 36 footer. Should be back in the 40's when I get home.
    I thought religions were prophet based organizations.
    What do you mean I am out of money? I still have checks!
    Remember, amateurs built the Ark, professionals built the Titanic

  3. #2953
    "Island Bartender" KG4CGC's Avatar
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    Sebenty too degrees today. Went for a ride.

  4. #2954
    Lord of the Flies WZ7U's Avatar
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    Butt freeze is here and MOTS till at least Tuesday. Damn...

    Like that post was...
    Moving on, my posts are not helpful

  5. #2955
    Volcano Tamer N1LAF's Avatar
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    Cold and snow will return soon. Interesting read (now permalinked bookmark)
    Arctic Oscillation and Polar Vortex Analysis and Forecasts

    Partial content

    Summary

    - The GFS is predicting that over the next two weeks, ridging/positive geopotential height anomalies centered south of the Aleutians are predicted to force downstream troughing/negative geopotential height anomalies and relatively cold temperatures across much of Canada and the Western US with ridging and relatively mild temperatures for the Eastern US. However, the ECMWF model has been predicting a colder solution for the Eastern US and I describe in the Impacts section my reasoning for favoring the ECMWF solution.

    Impacts

    - The GFS model is still predicting that generally this pattern of Arctic temperatures to continue. Therefore, based on the GFS forecast I would argue that even if the impacts from the stratospheric PV disruption continue to descend from the stratosphere to the surface that favor cold in the Eastern US and Europe, the cold can only be transient as warming focused in the Barents Kara Seas favors the most consistent cold across Northern Asia. However, the ECMWF model is predicting colder temperatures in at least the Northeastern US than the GFS with the trough axis across North America further east relative to the GFS.

    - I favor the ECMWF solution, but I have to admit my reasoning even though is based on ideas that I have discussed before are still fairly speculative so those of a faint of heart might want to skip ahead. As I have discussed previously often the stratospheric polar vortex (PV) center has a reflection in the troposphere. The stratospheric PV is currently centered over Svalbard and is predicted, or a lobe of the PV is predicted, to be centered over or near the Barents-Kara Seas. A polar low in the troposphere would bring colder temperatures to the Barents Kara Seas. An end to the focus of Arctic warming in this region could allow for greater warming elsewhere in the Arctic including near Alaska and possibly over across to Greenland. This would favor an eastward shift of the cold temperatures across North America more consistent with the ECMWF forecast. If I am correct that a tropospheric polar low could set up in the Barents-Kara Seas/Scandinavia region, this does not favor cold but rather mild temperatures for much of Europe.

    ====

    We shall see... site worth looking at.

  6. #2956
    Whacker Knot WTKX's Avatar
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    Another 6" today, it's nice to see to avoid drought

    Snow blowin' along...

    WP_20190206_16_05_57_Pro.jpg
    "Laugh-a while you can, monkey-boy" ~ Dr. Emilio Lizardo



  7. #2957
    Forum Addict kb2crk's Avatar
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    Supposed to get to almost 80 today. Back to below freezing tomorrow


    a yankee living in the hind end of the bible belt
    some people are like slinkys, not really good for anything, but still bring a smile to your face when you push them down the stairs.

  8. #2958
    The Fluid of Spock KD8TUT's Avatar
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    My 2 feet of snow has all but melted away.
    --
    So there I was, totally naked. With only a rubber hose and a stuffed animal...

  9. #2959
    Volcano Tamer PA5COR's Avatar
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    +8 C here sunny with a rain shower mixed in for the fun.
    ( 46 F for you sinners...)
    "If the Republicans will stop telling lies about the Democrats, we will stop
    telling the truth about them." - Adlai Stevenson (1900-1965)
    Im not liberal/conservative, Im anti-idiotarian.
    At some point in the last 20 years, the left moved to the center, and the right moved into a mental institution

  10. #2960
    "Island Bartender" KG4CGC's Avatar
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    I haven't run the heat in days. Tonight it comes back on. Last night I slept with a fan indirectly moving air towards me.
    Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday have all been in the mid to high 70's depend on your specific location just in a small area around the Upstate. New thermometer said 80 but I suspect I need to slide the glass down about 2 to get it closer to accurate. I will see what it says when the temps drop. I will also probably get another, different thermometer just for comparison. My old one gave out. I should say, the UV coating on the plastic had worn away, broke down and the plastic started to deteriorate and disappear. I spent 3 weeks adjusting the glass on that unit until I was happy with the calibration.

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